Expected Moves
Expected Moves — April 27, 2026
PonoTrading Team
April 24, 2026
5 min read
Daily expected move ranges for ES, NQ, YM, RTY, GC, CL — VIX context, strategy bias, and links to historical performance data.
Expected Moves — April 27, 2026
VIX: 18.71 | VXN: 23.38 Methodology: Price × (IV/100) × √(DTE/365) Generated: April 24, 2026 at 10:30 PM HSTES — S&P 500 E-mini
Current Price: $7,139.40 | IV: 18.7% (VIX)| Period | 1 SD Range (68%) | 2 SD Range (95%) |
|---|---|---|
| Daily | $7,069.48 – $7,209.32 (±69.9) | $6,999.56 – $7,279.24 (±139.8) |
| Weekly | $6,983.06 – $7,295.74 (±156.3) | $6,826.72 – $7,452.08 (±312.7) |
| Monthly | $6,819.00 – $7,459.80 (±320.4) | $6,498.59 – $7,780.21 (±640.8) |
| Quarterly | $6,584.44 – $7,694.36 (±555.0) | $6,029.49 – $8,249.31 (±1,109.9) |
NQ — Nasdaq 100 E-mini
Current Price: $27,219.08 | IV: 23.4% (VXN)| Period | 1 SD Range (68%) | 2 SD Range (95%) |
|---|---|---|
| Daily | $26,885.98 – $27,552.18 (±333.1) | $26,552.88 – $27,885.28 (±666.2) |
| Weekly | $26,474.25 – $27,963.91 (±744.8) | $25,729.42 – $28,708.74 (±1,489.7) |
| Monthly | $25,692.63 – $28,745.53 (±1,526.5) | $24,166.19 – $30,271.97 (±3,052.9) |
| Quarterly | $24,575.20 – $29,862.96 (±2,643.9) | $21,931.32 – $32,506.84 (±5,287.8) |
YM — Dow E-mini
Current Price: $49,221.00 | IV: 18.7% (VIX)| Period | 1 SD Range (68%) | 2 SD Range (95%) |
|---|---|---|
| Daily | $48,738.97 – $49,703.03 (±482.0) | $48,256.93 – $50,185.07 (±964.1) |
| Weekly | $48,143.14 – $50,298.86 (±1,077.9) | $47,065.28 – $51,376.72 (±2,155.7) |
| Monthly | $47,012.04 – $51,429.96 (±2,209.0) | $44,803.08 – $53,638.92 (±4,417.9) |
| Quarterly | $45,394.97 – $53,047.03 (±3,826.0) | $41,568.95 – $56,873.05 (±7,652.1) |
RTY — Russell 2000 E-mini
Current Price: $2,766.50 | IV: 18.7% (VIX)| Period | 1 SD Range (68%) | 2 SD Range (95%) |
|---|---|---|
| Daily | $2,739.41 – $2,793.59 (±27.1) | $2,712.31 – $2,820.69 (±54.2) |
| Weekly | $2,705.92 – $2,827.08 (±60.6) | $2,645.34 – $2,887.66 (±121.2) |
| Monthly | $2,642.34 – $2,890.66 (±124.2) | $2,518.19 – $3,014.81 (±248.3) |
Tags:expected moveoptions datavolatilityVIXVXN
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PonoTrading Team
PonoTrading publishes futures trading education, market structure notes, expected move analysis, and practical indicator workflows for retail traders.
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