Expected Moves
Expected Moves — April 24, 2026
PonoTrading Team
April 23, 2026
5 min read
Daily expected move ranges for ES, NQ, YM, RTY, GC, CL — VIX context, strategy bias, and links to historical performance data.
Expected Moves — April 24, 2026
VIX: 19.04 | VXN: 23.32 Methodology: Price × (IV/100) × √(DTE/365) Generated: April 23, 2026 at 10:30 PM HSTES — S&P 500 E-mini
Current Price: $7,094.20 | IV: 19.0% (VIX)| Period | 1 SD Range (68%) | 2 SD Range (95%) |
|---|---|---|
| Daily | $7,023.50 – $7,164.90 (±70.7) | $6,952.80 – $7,235.60 (±141.4) |
| Weekly | $6,936.11 – $7,252.29 (±158.1) | $6,778.02 – $7,410.38 (±316.2) |
| Monthly | $6,770.21 – $7,418.19 (±324.0) | $6,446.22 – $7,742.18 (±648.0) |
| Quarterly | $6,533.03 – $7,655.37 (±561.2) | $5,971.86 – $8,216.54 (±1,122.3) |
NQ — Nasdaq 100 E-mini
Current Price: $26,900.10 | IV: 23.3% (VXN)| Period | 1 SD Range (68%) | 2 SD Range (95%) |
|---|---|---|
| Daily | $26,571.75 – $27,228.45 (±328.4) | $26,243.40 – $27,556.80 (±656.7) |
| Weekly | $26,165.89 – $27,634.31 (±734.2) | $25,431.68 – $28,368.52 (±1,468.4) |
| Monthly | $25,395.41 – $28,404.79 (±1,504.7) | $23,890.73 – $29,909.47 (±3,009.4) |
| Quarterly | $24,293.91 – $29,506.29 (±2,606.2) | $21,687.72 – $32,112.48 (±5,212.4) |
YM — Dow E-mini
Current Price: $49,206.00 | IV: 19.0% (VIX)| Period | 1 SD Range (68%) | 2 SD Range (95%) |
|---|---|---|
| Daily | $48,715.61 – $49,696.39 (±490.4) | $48,225.23 – $50,186.77 (±980.8) |
| Weekly | $48,109.46 – $50,302.54 (±1,096.5) | $47,012.92 – $51,399.08 (±2,193.1) |
| Monthly | $46,958.77 – $51,453.23 (±2,247.2) | $44,711.53 – $53,700.47 (±4,494.5) |
| Quarterly | $45,313.68 – $53,098.32 (±3,892.3) | $41,421.35 – $56,990.65 (±7,784.6) |
RTY — Russell 2000 E-mini
Current Price: $2,751.80 | IV: 19.0% (VIX)| Period | 1 SD Range (68%) | 2 SD Range (95%) |
|---|---|---|
| Daily | $2,724.38 – $2,779.22 (±27.4) | $2,696.95 – $2,806.65 (±54.9) |
| Weekly | $2,690.48 – $2,813.12 (±61.3) | $2,629.15 – $2,874.45 (±122.7) |
| Monthly | $2,626.13 – $2,877.47 (±125.7) | $2,500.45 – $3,003.15 (±251.3) |
Tags:expected moveoptions datavolatilityVIXVXN
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PonoTrading Team
PonoTrading publishes futures trading education, market structure notes, expected move analysis, and practical indicator workflows for retail traders.
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