Expected Moves
Expected Moves — April 23, 2026
PonoTrading Team
April 22, 2026
5 min read
Daily expected move ranges for ES, NQ, YM, RTY, GC, CL — VIX context, strategy bias, and links to historical performance data.
Expected Moves — April 23, 2026
VIX: 19.42 | VXN: 23.30 Methodology: Price × (IV/100) × √(DTE/365) Generated: April 22, 2026 at 10:30 PM HSTES — S&P 500 E-mini
Current Price: $7,084.30 | IV: 19.4% (VIX)| Period | 1 SD Range (68%) | 2 SD Range (95%) |
|---|---|---|
| Daily | $7,012.29 – $7,156.31 (±72.0) | $6,940.28 – $7,228.32 (±144.0) |
| Weekly | $6,923.28 – $7,245.32 (±161.0) | $6,762.26 – $7,406.34 (±322.0) |
| Monthly | $6,754.30 – $7,414.30 (±330.0) | $6,424.31 – $7,744.29 (±660.0) |
| Quarterly | $6,512.73 – $7,655.87 (±571.6) | $5,941.16 – $8,227.44 (±1,143.1) |
NQ — Nasdaq 100 E-mini
Current Price: $26,755.78 | IV: 23.3% (VXN)| Period | 1 SD Range (68%) | 2 SD Range (95%) |
|---|---|---|
| Daily | $26,429.47 – $27,082.09 (±326.3) | $26,103.16 – $27,408.40 (±652.6) |
| Weekly | $26,026.13 – $27,485.43 (±729.6) | $25,296.49 – $28,215.07 (±1,459.3) |
| Monthly | $25,260.45 – $28,251.11 (±1,495.3) | $23,765.12 – $29,746.44 (±2,990.7) |
| Quarterly | $24,165.79 – $29,345.77 (±2,590.0) | $21,575.81 – $31,935.75 (±5,180.0) |
YM — Dow E-mini
Current Price: $49,265.00 | IV: 19.4% (VIX)| Period | 1 SD Range (68%) | 2 SD Range (95%) |
|---|---|---|
| Daily | $48,764.23 – $49,765.77 (±500.8) | $48,263.45 – $50,266.55 (±1,001.5) |
| Weekly | $48,145.24 – $50,384.76 (±1,119.8) | $47,025.47 – $51,504.53 (±2,239.5) |
| Monthly | $46,970.17 – $51,559.83 (±2,294.8) | $44,675.34 – $53,854.66 (±4,589.7) |
| Quarterly | $45,290.23 – $53,239.77 (±3,974.8) | $41,315.47 – $57,214.53 (±7,949.5) |
RTY — Russell 2000 E-mini
Current Price: $2,749.00 | IV: 19.4% (VIX)| Period | 1 SD Range (68%) | 2 SD Range (95%) |
|---|---|---|
| Daily | $2,721.06 – $2,776.94 (±27.9) | $2,693.11 – $2,804.89 (±55.9) |
| Weekly | $2,686.52 – $2,811.48 (±62.5) | $2,624.03 – $2,873.97 (±125.0) |
| Monthly | $2,620.95 – $2,877.05 (±128.1) | $2,492.90 – $3,005.10 (±256.1) |
Tags:expected moveoptions datavolatilityVIXVXN
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PonoTrading Team
PonoTrading publishes futures trading education, market structure notes, expected move analysis, and practical indicator workflows for retail traders.
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