Back to Blog
Wednesday NQ cash-session 5-minute candles in glowing gold on a black CGI stage with gold floor rails, a dark ridge far behind. NQ dips to a low of 28,199 just under the gold expected-move high at 28,251.50, takes it back, climbs past the weekly expected-move high at 28,361.31 to a high of 28,697 over the 2x band high at 28,667.76, and closes near 28,484; PonoTrading mark and gold wordmark.

NQ Kept Its Expected-Move Break and Ran Higher

NQ kept this morning's break over its expected-move high. It dipped under for 10 minutes, then ran to its 2x band as AI stocks bounced. ES joined it. Scorecard, alert board, Thursday's PDM and the plan into PPI.

Wednesday, November 11, 2026 · After the Close

NQ kept its break over the expected-move high today, and then it ran. Our morning prep had one line: the daily expected-move high at 28,251.50. NQ dipped under it for about 10 minutes. Its low was 28,199 at 4:50 AM HT / 9:50 AM ET. Then it took the line back and climbed to 28,697 at 8:45 AM HT / 1:45 PM ET. The last cash minute closed near 28,484.

The expected move is the range the options market prices for a set time. Today's NQ band ran from 27,419.00 to 28,251.50, measured from Tuesday's close. The 2x band is twice that move. Its top was 28,667.76. NQ traded above it as early as 1:21 PM ET and as late as 1:59 PM ET, then closed below it. PDM means the prior day's median. Today's NQ PDM was 27,803, the midpoint of Tuesday's session. NQ stayed at least 396 points over it all day.

The reason was a rebound in AI stocks. CoreWeave reported after Tuesday's close. Its sales beat forecasts, and it raised its full-year sales range. Its shares jumped about 25% today. The Nasdaq Composite gained about 1.6% and the S&P 500 about 1.3%. These are the stock indexes, not futures. It was also Veterans Day. Stocks were open, but the bond market was closed.

Tuesday's hot inflation report had pushed NQ down. Today it more than made that back. Its last cash minute closed about 649 points over Tuesday's settle at 27,835.25. One move like that can make the next day feel easy. It is not.

Members get the scorecard against this morning's prep, how ES joined NQ over its band, what our alert board sent, Thursday's PDM and the plan into Friday's next inflation report.

Share this read

Continue the journal

Related Articles

NQ Traded Under Its Expected-Move Low, Then Settled In Discount
Sign in
Closing Bell

NQ Traded Under Its Expected-Move Low, Then Settled In Discount

NQ opened in premium over its PDM at 28,348.375, traded down to 27,695.25, 265 points under its expected-move low, and settled in discount at 28,034.75.

9 min read
Nov 13, 2026
NQ Traded Into Premium Over Its PDM, Then Settled In Discount
Sign in
Closing Bell

NQ Traded Into Premium Over Its PDM, Then Settled In Discount

NQ opened under its expected-move low, took back Wednesday's RTH low at 28,199 and traded into premium over its PDM at 28,448, then settled in discount under it. ES traded above Wednesday's RTH high in the 11:19–11:24 ET window. The morning prep next to what price did, the alert board, Friday's PDM and the plan into PPI.

10 min read
Nov 12, 2026
Hot CPI: NQ Found Support in Discount Under Its PDM
Sign in
Closing Bell

Hot CPI: NQ Found Support in Discount Under Its PDM

October CPI came in hotter than expected. NQ dealt into discount under its PDM, broke the low of its expected move, found support there, then closed back over the PDM. ES took the same path. Scorecard, alert board, Wednesday's PDM and the plan into PPI.

9 min read
Nov 10, 2026